I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering €“ I know that I am for the first time now that my state has legalized wagering €“ this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for 49ers vs. Rams.
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NFL Betting Primer: 49ers vs. Rams
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams – Spread Line: LAR +7
The Rams shocked the world in a big road win versus the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1. But had the Seahawks not suffered a mirid of tackle injuries, they may not have won so connivingly. After all, their next success rate was just slightly above average in the win. And Matthew Stafford converted third downs at crazy rate (65%). Bills were No. 1 in that category last season at 50%. The Rams converted 11 3rd downs, five of which were 3rd and over 5 yards.
Meanwhile, the 49ers showed they are a true contender, after curb-stomping the Steelers in their first road win of the season. And it was a dominating performance, however, you shape the numbers. Therefore, I am backing the 49ers on the road even as touchdown favorites. They played a Matthew Stafford-led Rams team with Cooper Kupp twice last season, and the Kyle Shanahan team won handsomely. 24-9 and 31-14. The year prior €“ versus the future Super Bowl-winning Rams €“ SF went 2-1 against Sean McVay’s team, going a perfect 3-0 ATS averaging a touchdown margin of victory. This 2023 Rams team is nothing like that Super Bowl squad. Lock in the 49ers.
And load up on player props, because there are a lot of great ones in this contest.
Cam Akers under 8.5 receiving yards is a gimme. He ran 2 routes last week in a game where the Rams ran 78 plays. Kyren Williams is the preferred receiving back in the Rams’ offense, not Akers.
Deebo Samuel has surpassed 70 receiving yards in four straight games versus the LA Rams. In Week 1, Deebo finished with 5 catches for 55 yards on 7 targets. Although Brandon Aiyuk stole the show, Samuel still had a solid game. 25% target share. 32% air yards share. 97% route participation. He ran the most routes. I think Samuel is a savvy buy-low with all the shine on Aiyuk.
- My picks: 49ers -7 (-110 FanDuel Sportsbook)
- My props: Cam Akers UNDER 8.5 receiving yards (-120 BetMGM), Deebo Samuel OVER 46.5 receiving yards (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook)
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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